Avalon Holdings Stock Performance

AWX Stock  USD 2.68  0.04  1.52%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.47, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Avalon Holdings' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Avalon Holdings is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Avalon Holdings has a negative expected return of -0.0607%. Please make sure to confirm Avalon Holdings' value at risk, and the relationship between the information ratio and kurtosis , to decide if Avalon Holdings performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days Avalon Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Avalon Holdings is not utilizing all of its potentials. The new stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
1.52
Five Day Return
(1.11)
Year To Date Return
(3.60)
Ten Year Return
59.74
All Time Return
(57.12)
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Begin Period Cash Flow11.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-2.2 M

Avalon Holdings Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  282.00  in Avalon Holdings on November 15, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (14.00) from holding Avalon Holdings or give up 4.96% of portfolio value over 90 days. Avalon Holdings is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.2197% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 19% of stocks are less volatile than Avalon, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Avalon Holdings is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.86 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.13 per unit of volatility.

Avalon Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Avalon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.68 90 days 2.68 
about 54.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Avalon Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 54.29 (This Avalon Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Avalon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Avalon Holdings has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Avalon Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Avalon Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Avalon Holdings has an alpha of 0.076, implying that it can generate a 0.076 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Avalon Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Avalon Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Avalon Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Avalon Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.372.684.99
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.274.58
Details

Avalon Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Avalon Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Avalon Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Avalon Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Avalon Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Avalon Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Avalon Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Avalon Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avalon Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avalon Holdings has 34.71 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.58, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avalon Holdings has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Avalon to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
About 42.0% of Avalon Holdings shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Avalon Holdings Corporation stock reacts to bond yields - July 2025 Recap Stepwise Trade Signal Implementation - mfd.ru

Avalon Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Avalon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Avalon Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Avalon Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.8 M

Avalon Holdings Fundamentals Growth

Avalon Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Avalon Holdings, and Avalon Holdings fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Avalon Stock performance.

About Avalon Holdings Performance

Evaluating Avalon Holdings' performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Avalon Holdings has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Avalon Holdings has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 9.82  6.78 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Capital Employed 0.04  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.03  0.03 

Things to note about Avalon Holdings performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Avalon Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Avalon Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Avalon Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Avalon Holdings has 34.71 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.58, which is OK given its current industry classification. Avalon Holdings has a current ratio of 0.77, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Nevertheless, prudent borrowing could serve as an effective mechanism for Avalon to finance growth opportunities yielding strong returns.
About 42.0% of Avalon Holdings shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: How Avalon Holdings Corporation stock reacts to bond yields - July 2025 Recap Stepwise Trade Signal Implementation - mfd.ru
Evaluating Avalon Holdings' performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Avalon Holdings' stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Avalon Holdings' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Avalon Holdings' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Avalon Holdings' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Avalon Holdings' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Avalon Holdings' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Avalon Holdings' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Avalon Holdings' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Avalon Holdings' stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Avalon Holdings' stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Avalon Stock Analysis

When running Avalon Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Avalon Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Avalon Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Avalon Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Avalon Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Avalon Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Avalon Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.